…Why the IPCC Models are Wrong…
Virtually all of the IPCC’s 102 computer models have predicted there would be a hot spot in the atmosphere in the tropics, between 20 degrees S and 20 degrees N latitudes.
The hot spot is shown in this graph taken from Dr. John Cristy’s congressional testimony.
Altitudes are on the vertical axis, latitudes are on horizontal axis. Tropics are within dotted lines.
It should be a simple matter to determine whether actual temperatures at these latitudes and heights prove or disprove the model’s predictions.
Temperatures can be taken using satellites and balloons. Both can accurately establish actual temperatures at the relevant altitudes in the tropical regions.
If actual temperatures taken by satellites and balloons are hotter than the surrounding areas, it will confirm that the models are depicting how CO2 is affecting the Earth’s temperatures.
However, if the temperatures are lower than predicted by the models, then it’s reasonable to assume the models are wrong.
Temperatures from these latitudes and altitudes have been taken and charted to see how they compare with the above graph. An earlier article, False Claims of Impending Disaster, included a chart of these temperatures, though no mention was made of the hot spot in that article. See that article for a complete description of the chart.
The chart, repeated here, shows that actual temperature readings, in gray, did not show a hot spot in the tropical regions. (The title on the chart establishes that the chart is of temperatures in the tropical regions for altitudes between 1,000 and 100,000 feet.)
All 102 models included data for greenhouse gasses, and these models made predictions reported by the IPCC that are far removed from actual temperatures. They are shown in red, far to the right of actual temperatures.
The hotspot predicted by the models has been referred to as the fingerprint for global warming. And now we can see there is no fingerprint.
The temperatures being predicted by the models are far higher than actual temperatures. There is no fingerprint.
The IPCC models are wrong.
This is the third article in a series titled: Let Science Do the Talking.